Clouds and Climate
How does the climate affect clouds?
Now we know a little more about clouds' effects on climate. What about the
effect of climate on clouds? These interactions are not as clearly understood.
In fact, when scientists use
computer models
to predict future climates, the biggest source of
uncertainty
comes from interactions between the climate and clouds. This has been the case
for decades, and was a large motivating factor for the creation of CMMAP.

Many climate models do a great job of simulating our current climate, but there
is huge disagreement between models about the overall effect of clouds in the
future climate. Some models predict that clouds will continue to have a cooling
effect, while others predict they will have a warming effect.
These differences are mostly due to uncertainty regarding whether climate change
will result in more or less reflected
solar radiation.
Many factors other than the amount of clouds (such as the number and size of
cloud droplets) affect how much solar radiation is reflected or absorbed. This
uncertainty involves both deep convective and
low level clouds,
with recent research indicating the lack of understanding of the latter group
is the biggest contributor.
Next page
->
How do areosols affect clouds?
Links and resources