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Fwd: Cloud Feedbacks Paper submitted to JAMESFrom Peter BlosseyDate August 4, 2008 Dear CMMAP Low Cloud Feedbacks group, Matt Wyant, Chris Bretherton and I have submitted a paper on our recent CMMAP work that analyzes the subtropical low cloud response of SP-CAM to a Cess-style climate perturbation and develops a column analogue in which the response can be studied using a CRM/LES (or SCM) in a single-column framework. The paper has been submitted to JAMES and is up on their open discussion site (JAMES-D) here: http://www.cmmap.org/ojs/index.php/JAMES-D/article/view/6 We would welcome your comments, either directly through email or on the JAMES-D site. Title and abstract is appended below. Peter ============================================== Understanding Subtropical Low Cloud Response to a Warmer Climate in a Superparameterized Climate Model Matthew C Wyant, Christopher S Bretherton, Peter N Blossey Abstract The subtropical low cloud response to a climate with SST uniformly warmed by 2 K is analyzed in the SP-CAM superparameterized climate model, in which each grid column is replaced by a two-dimensional cloud-resolving model (CRM). Intriguingly, SP-CAM shows substantial low cloud increases over the subtropical oceans in the warmer climate. The paper aims to understand the mechanism for these increases, and to test their sensitivity to the coarse CRM resolution (4 km horizontal, 30 vertical levels). The approaches presented also apply to other global climate models or warming scenarios. The subtropical low cloud increase is analyzed by sorting grid-column months of the climate model into composite cloud regimes using percentile ranges of lower tropospheric stability (LTS). LTS is observed to be well correlated to subtropical low cloud amount and boundary layer vertical structure. The low cloud increase is attributed to boundary-layer destabilization due to increased clear-sky radiative cooling in the warmer climate. This drives more shallow cumulus convection and a moister boundary layer, inducing cloud increases and further increasing the radiative cooling. The SP-CAM resolution sensitivity is tested with a new CRM analogue to an SP-CAM composite cloud regime. The CRM is run to steady state using composite advective tendencies, winds, and sea-surface temperature from SP-CAM control and +2 K climates. A new 'weak temperature gradient' algorithm based on an idealized form of gravity wave adjustment is used to adjust vertical motion in the column to keep the simulated virtual temperature profile consistent with the corresponding SP-CAM composite profile. Humidity is also slowly relaxed toward the SP-CAM composite above the boundary layer. With SP-CAM grid resolution, the CRM shows +2 K low cloud increases similar to SP-CAM. With fine grid resolution, the CRM-simulated low cloud fraction and its increase in a warmer climate are much smaller. Hence, the negative low cloud feedbacks in SP-CAM may be exaggerated by under-resolution of cloud-topped boundary layers. |