Colorado State University
General Circulation Model
Robert Carroll Levy
One scientific question that the
ARM (Atmospheric Radiation Measurement) program
hopes to answer is, "What are the direct effects of temperature and atmospheric
constituents, primarily clouds, water vapor and aerosols on the radiative flow
of energy through the atmosphere and across Earth's surface?" (ARM Science Team,
1996). The purpose of this project is to construct a detailed analysis of the
clouds over the Central Great Plains (SGP) site and to study their effects on
surface radiation. Using data from the October/November 1994 Intense Observation
Period at the Central Facility (CF), "composite" daily time series plots have
been made, relating cloud levels (cloud base and cloud top), liquid and
precipitable water amounts, and the downwelling solar and infrared irradiances.
From these pictures interesting time periods were selected, such as periods of
completely clear skies, nearly uniform single-layer clouds, or multi-layered
clouds. For each of these periods, one-hour "averages" or "characteristic
values" of CF data were computed to run the CSU GCM (Colorado State University
General Circulation Model) radiation parameterization, and modeled flux results
were compared with solar and infrared fluxes observed at the CF.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
Cloud fraction estimated by the micropulse lidar and by Pat Minnis'
satellite cloud retrieval. Whole IOP averaged.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
"Composite" time-series plots show the interaction of clouds, water, and
radiation. The clouds (top panel) are positioned by three methods, cloud-base
from the MPL(dots), cloud-top from Minnis (bars), and high relative humidity
from the soundings (shading). For the water (middle panel), the precipitable
water paths are represented by Xs and the liquid water path by dots
(multiplied by 100 to fit on the same plot). Finally, the radiation (bottom
panel) includes color lines representing time-series of BSRN observations.
This example, Nov 9, shows that at 18UTC, low clouds were present along with
high LWP, reduction of SW, and increased downward LW.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
CLEAR SKY: Modeled radiative fluxes compared with observations :
A "clear sky" was defined when the Micropulse Lidar (MPL) detected no clouds
during an hour-long interval. 141 clear-sky cases were observed during the IOP,
of which these plots show longwave and shortwave fluxes, calculated by the CSU
GCM radiation parameterization and compared to BSRN observations. The shortwave
plot shows good fit to the one-to-one line, however the model produces direct
and total fluxes about 10% too high. Many diffuse fluxes are near zero, however
there are a number of times when diffuse flux was recorded when the model didn't
predict it, due to radiation reflecting off clouds in the sky that were not
directly overhead and seen by the MPL. The longwave parameterization accurately
calculates downwelling and net surface longwave fluxes, but does poorly on
top-of-atmosphere outgoing longwave. This bias can be attributed to the
parameterization not including the upper atmosphere (above 50 mb) in its
calculations.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
CLOUDY SKY: Modeled radiative fluxes compared with observations :
These figures show calculated (with the CSU GCM radiation parameterization)
downwelling shortwave fluxes, downwelling IR flux and upwelling
(Top-of-atmosphere) IR flux compared with observations from the BSRN and the
satellite (Minnis). Daytime values are red and nighttime are blue. Cloud bases
and tops can be calculated by two ways, from sounding derived relative
humidities, or by a combination of the Micropulse Lidar (MPL) and Minnis. The
clouds themselves are broken into categories, depending on the temperature of
the cloud: "liquid" (above 253 K), "ice" (below 253 K) or "mixed" (straddling
253 K). Note that these plots only include clouds that can be categorized as
one-layer. The Liquid Water Path was distributed linearly (with zero water at
the base) in liquid cloud regions (Slingo et al., 1980), and a characteristic
ice-content was assumed based on mid-cloud temperature (Platt and Harshvardhan,
1989), and distributed linearly with zero ice at the top (Stackhouse and
Stephens, 1989).
At first glance the plots using Sonde are very similar to those using the
MPL/Minnis derived cloud positions, however upon close look, the quality of fit
is different. The Lidar-derived LW plots better straddle the "best fit" lines,
while the Sonde-derived LW plots have less scatter. This is true for the SW
plots as well. In both cases, for both day and night, the longwave plots are
much better than the shortwave plots, probably because we have better models for
cloud absorption then of cloud-particle scattering.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
Cloud bases and tops can be calculated by two ways, from sounding derived
relative humidities, or by a combination of the Micropulse Lidar (MPL) and
Minnis. The clouds themselves are broken into categories, depending on the
temperature of the cloud: 'liquid' (above 253K), 'ice' (below 253K) or 'mixed'
(straddling 253K). Note that these plots only include clouds that can be
catagorized as one-layer. The Liquid Water Path was distributed linearly (with
zero water at the base) in liquid cloud regions (Slingo et al., 1980), and a
characteristic ice-content was assumed based on mid-cloud temperature (Platt
and Harshvardhan, 1989), and distributed linearly with zero ice at the top
(Stackhouse and Stephens, 1989).
There are not a lot of differences between Sonde-derived and MPL/Minnis derived
plots. Most differences occur because the satellite recorded generally higher
cloud tops than did the sonde, so for example, many clouds characterized as
'liquid' by the sonde, were characterized as 'mixed' by the lidars. For both
cloud algorithms, liquid clouds produced good albedo fits, and ice clouds
produced poor fits. While the clear sky calculations produced albedos close to
observed, the weak slope of the regression line shows that the Briegleb et al.,
(1986) surface albedo model depended too strongly on solar zenith angle.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
Red lines represent shortwave heating, blue lines are longwave heating, and
the black lines represent the total heating. For each color, dotted lines
represent the cloudy-sky calculations. Without clouds, the atmosphere generally
cools by about one degree in longwave, and warms by up to one degree by
shortwave in midafternoon. The combination creates a near zero heating.
Clockwise from top left: a thin but vertically extensive cloud, a high cloud,
a low cloud, and a thick cloud.
What happens to the heating profile when the clouds are changed from
single-level to multi-level? Note that for the single layer cloud, water is
assumed for levels up to about 490 mb, while ice is assumed for levels above
that. For the two-layer cloud, water is assumed in the lower cloud, while ice is
assumed for the upper cloud.
Levy, R., 1996: An analysis of southern great plains ARM cloudiness and
surface radiation data. Masters thesis. Colorado State University, Ft.
Collins., 145 pp.
Rob Levy
c/o Research and Data Systems Corp.
Famine Early Warning System/Climate Prediction Center
5200 Auth Road, Camp Springs MD 20233
(301)763-8000 x7584
rlevy@sgi42.wwb.noaa.gov